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Pairs Trading (?)

home > strategies > pairs-trading
Follow Pair
How to choose pairs?
  • Choose stocks from same sector/subsector.
Extra tip: Use stock with large market capitalization as first stock.
Good pairs: Here is a list of pairs chosen analytically.

NIFTY - EXIDEIND

Slope: 0.0227 Confidence: 99.6%
Data Time Frame: 6months
EXIDEIND = 0.0227 * NIFTY
Technical strength of NIFTY is 8.1. (Levels)
Technical strength of EXIDEIND is 7.9. (Levels)
End-of-day divergence (Standardized residual) is 0.147.
Half life of pair is 17.8.
Mean error is 0.0355. Standard error is 8.1.
Real time divergence is 0.142.
Divergence is calculating using following formula: (exideind_price - 0.0227 * nifty_price - mean_error)/standard_error

Recommendation

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Take positions when divergence becomes (+/-)1.5. And exit positions when divergence becomes (+/-)0.0.
Stop Loss: Put your stop loss when divergence becomes more than 2.0 or less than -2.0. We suggest you always use stop losses.

Click here for backtesting results.

NIFTY Futures - NSE EOD Prices

Expiry Date Close Price Open Interest Number of Trades No of Contracts Underlying Closing Price
May 30, 2013 6164.85 25761900.0 73023.0 184145.0 6156.9
July 25, 2013 6188.6 310050.0 925.0 1371.0 6156.9
June 27, 2013 6173.65 1708100.0 6927.0 10843.0 6156.9
Lot size: 50.0.

EXIDEIND Futures - NSE EOD Prices

Expiry Date Close Price Open Interest Number of Trades No of Contracts Underlying Closing Price
May 30, 2013 141.55 1954000.0 522.0 541.0 141.25
July 25, 2013 143.75 44000.0 2.0 2.0 141.25
June 27, 2013 142.1 84000.0 11.0 11.0 141.25
Lot size: 2000.0.

NIFTY-EXIDEIND Analysis with different time frames and thresholds

Time Frame 6months, Entry Threshold 1.5, Stop Loss Threshold 2, Total Profit 104080.0
Time Frame 6months, Entry Threshold 1.5, Stop Loss Threshold 2.5, Total Profit 94322.5
Time Frame 6months, Entry Threshold 2, Stop Loss Threshold 2.5, Total Profit 37372.5
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