Study: Sell AMARAJABAT when RSI is below 50 and there is Dead Cross (50 DMA < 200 DMA)

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In this study, we evaluate the performance of strategy "Sell AMARAJABAT when RSI is below 50 and there is Dead Cross (50 DMA < 200 DMA)" under various conditions.

X Analysis

In the table below, we find out the performance of this trading strategy under following scenario: sell AMARAJABAT at the closing price whenever the signal triggers (Rs. 2Lac per trade). Then cover the position "X" trading days later at close_price i.e. buy after "X" trading days. Here are the results of this study:

X DaysNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
121795.51139469.233107.877307.93-1543.83-2590.192.014.530.131676.58
229583.47139469.234358.4511770.18-2410.65-5882.351.814.070.112275.65
37015.38138561.544052.9513092.16-5081.64-13866.330.81.280.019539.64
422965.47137653.856170.2716365.2-3371.07-8931.921.832.140.0611766.57
543619.81138561.547419.1222911.28-3146.62-7027.592.363.770.0933355.37
640372.15137653.859375.9826528.85-4209.96-6507.032.232.60.0753105.55
710481.53135838.4610576.4724289.41-5300.1-12269.1321.250.018806.27
8-7116.68139469.235714.9417398.79-14637.79-40633.250.390.88-0.009-547.44
9-47862.67139469.235037.7211369.51-23300.54-58839.050.220.49-0.046-3681.74
10-54199.8136746.156364.729733.92-13198.3-49340.370.480.41-0.061-4169.22

From the table above, we see that best results are achieved by holding positions for 1 trading days. Profit factor is 4.53. Strategy is very good and impressively bearish. Percentage of profitable trades is 69.23%, which is good. Average return per trade is 0.84%, which is not very high, don't trade solely on the basis of this study.
In the chart below, we plot cumulative trade gain versus trades. This chart is important and informative as it shows the performance of strategy over time.
AMARAJABAT Performance, X=1, Profit Factor:4.53

Yearwise Summary of trades in above chart

YearNumber of TradesTrade Dates
2017110 Jan 2017 (-0.53%)
2016202 Jun 2016 (0.52%), 28 Jun 2016 (-1.3%)
2015128 Dec 2015 (-0.34%)
2013115 Jul 2013 (1.73%)
2011119 Dec 2011 (0.26%)
2007118 Oct 2007 (3.65%)
2004115 Mar 2004 (2.93%)
2002123 Sep 2002 (0.97%)
2001108 May 2001 (-0.92%)
1999125 Aug 1999 (0.93%)
1998111 Feb 1998 (1.52%)
1996118 Nov 1996 (1.47%)

Strategy Analysis - Exit Criteria

In the study above, exit criterion was that hold the position for "X" trading days. That's one possible exit criterion. However, we can have more elaborate exit criteria. Now we study this strategy under other exit criteria. There are 3 things which you must get to know before proceeding further. Table below shows the performance of this strategy under various exit combinations. Note that nil,nil,-1 is a special exit combination where we just take the best result of "X" Analysis study above.

Stop LossAdjust Stop LossTargetAvg Holding PeriodNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
nilnil-1121795.51139469.233107.877307.93-1543.83-2590.192.014.530.131676.58
atrtrail35.54-310.08134930.7710917.6926047.04-4886.76-10388.562.230.99-0.00054-23.85
atrtrail25.38-14453.52134930.777381.8317364.7-4886.76-10388.561.510.67-0.034-1111.81
atrtrail-15.85-15667.76134930.777078.2717753.31-4886.76-10388.561.450.64-0.037-1205.21
atrnil39.08-44343.291331023.0819712.9826047.04-10348.22-32811.311.90.57-0.051-3411.02
atrnil28.46-51419.81134930.7711962.5717364.7-11030.01-32811.311.080.48-0.067-3955.37

In the table above, row 1 shows the best exit criterion. Profit factor is 4.53. Strategy is very good and impressively bearish. Percentage of profitable trades is 69.23%, which is good. Average return per trade is 0.84%, which is not very high, don't trade solely on the basis of this study.
Performance of strategy chart over time is same as above.

View performance of other stocks for this trading system.