Study: Buy INDUSINDBK when near 200 SMA and above 200 SMA and ADX is Trending

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In this study, we evaluate the performance of strategy "Buy INDUSINDBK when near 200 SMA and above 200 SMA and ADX is Trending" under various conditions.

X Analysis

In the table below, we find out the performance of this trading strategy under following scenario: buy INDUSINDBK at the closing price whenever the signal triggers (Rs. 2Lac per trade). Then cover the position "X" trading days later at close_price i.e. sell after "X" trading days. Here are the results of this study:

X DaysNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
125989.861411378.573467.089684.21-4049.32-5819.760.863.140.111856.42
238659.03149564.296952.2826105.26-4782.3-15963.511.452.620.0752761.36
355296.361411378.577437.9644210.53-8840.41-14595.210.843.080.0753949.74
463305.561410471.4310674.0864000-10858.8-20754.720.982.460.0594521.83
579472.861410471.4310463.1752210.53-6289.71-10062.891.664.160.0955676.63
657552.61149564.299845.8540421.05-6212.02-11549.241.582.850.0834110.9
756728.64149564.299842.5337052.63-6370.82-13207.551.542.780.0854052.05
884102.321410471.4310624.5730315.79-5535.86-7803.161.924.80.156007.31
974093.89149564.2910451.8826526.32-3994.62-9997.852.624.710.145292.42
101037501411378.5710390.6844631.58-3515.72-8101.72.9610.840.157410.74

From the table above, we see that best results are achieved by holding positions for 10 trading days. Profit factor is 10.84. Strategy is very good and impressively bullish. Percentage of profitable trades is 78.57%, which is excellent. Average return per trade is 3.71%, which is very good.
In the chart below, we plot cumulative trade gain versus trades. This chart is important and informative as it shows the performance of strategy over time.
INDUSINDBK Performance, X=10, Profit Factor:10.8

Yearwise Summary of trades in above chart

YearNumber of TradesTrade Dates
2016117 Mar 2016 (+)
2015326 Aug 2015 (+), 10 Sep 2015 (+), 13 Nov 2015 (+)
2011407 Jan 2011 (+), 21 Jan 2011 (-), 04 Mar 2011 (+), 06 May 2011 (-)
2009124 Apr 2009 (+)
2007102 Aug 2007 (+)
2003112 Mar 2003 (-)
2002222 Feb 2002 (+), 06 Dec 2002 (+)
1999130 Nov 1999 (+)

Strategy Analysis - Exit Criteria

In the study above, exit criterion was that hold the position for "X" trading days. That's one possible exit criterion. However, we can have more elaborate exit criteria. Now we study this strategy under other exit criteria. There are 3 things which you must get to know before proceeding further. Table below shows the performance of this strategy under various exit combinations. Note that nil,nil,-1 is a special exit combination where we just take the best result of "X" Analysis study above.

Stop LossAdjust Stop LossTargetAvg Holding PeriodNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
nilnil-1101037501411378.5710390.6844631.58-3515.72-8101.72.9610.840.157410.74
atrnil310.46117626137653.8525385.0339427.55-10011.52-14645.762.542.960.129048.16
atrnil27.3158394.33137653.8516923.3526285.03-10011.52-14645.761.691.970.0764491.87
200trail-1322837.091841422.2215150.4944269.47-2697.49-3740.955.621.60.0281268.73
atrtrail-15.827815.8315694012658.349975.31-5348.22-14645.762.371.580.0311854.39
atrtrail35.5320441.4615694011429.2439427.55-5348.22-14645.762.141.420.0271362.76
atrtrail24.3314775.3415694010484.8926285.03-5348.22-14645.761.961.310.024985.02
200nil32.11-4359.171841422.229228.0811337.24-2947.96-3750.523.130.89-0.011-242.18
200nil21.84-6077.311961331.585614.127558.16-3058.62-3750.521.840.85-0.019-319.86
200trail21.74-10768.521961331.584471.327041.64-2892.03-3740.951.550.71-0.038-566.76
200trail31.94-11488.461841422.226569.110562.46-2697.49-3740.952.440.7-0.036-638.25

In the table above, row 1 shows the best exit criterion. Profit factor is 10.84. Strategy is very good and impressively bullish. Percentage of profitable trades is 78.57%, which is excellent. Average return per trade is 3.71%, which is very good.
Performance of strategy chart over time is same as above.

View performance of other stocks for this trading system.