Study: Buy KPIT when near 200 SMA and above 200 SMA and RSI is above 50

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In this study, we evaluate the performance of strategy "Buy KPIT when near 200 SMA and above 200 SMA and RSI is above 50" under various conditions.

X Analysis

In the table below, we find out the performance of this trading strategy under following scenario: buy KPIT at the closing price whenever the signal triggers (Rs. 2Lac per trade). Then cover the position "X" trading days later at close_price i.e. sell after "X" trading days. Here are the results of this study:

X DaysNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
116238.92149564.293823.476946.98-3634.47-10087.371.051.890.0641159.92
264540.64149564.299441.618110.24-4086.74-10518.052.314.160.144610.05
31089311411378.5710811.3632883.24-3331.39-7692.313.2511.90.197780.77
486208.421410471.439795.5230789.74-2936.71-6959.953.348.340.166157.74
51258621411378.5712312.3930723.09-3191.35-6040.713.8614.150.218990.16
6976151411378.5710548.9827005.56-6141.25-8995.41.726.30.176972.5
71140631410471.4313732.1745353.46-5814.78-18253.452.365.90.148147.32
883483.05149564.2912552.7532644.96-5898.33-18910.052.133.830.125963.07
9110246148657.1418629.7656269.49-6465.31-22783.982.883.840.117874.73
10117505148657.1419275.7751403.62-6116.85-21602.13.154.20.118393.22

From the table above, we see that best results are achieved by holding positions for 5 trading days. Profit factor is 14.15. Strategy is very good and impressively bullish. Percentage of profitable trades is 78.57%, which is excellent. Average return per trade is 4.5%, which is very good.
In the chart below, we plot cumulative trade gain versus trades. This chart is important and informative as it shows the performance of strategy over time.
KPIT Performance, X=5, Profit Factor:14.1

Yearwise Summary of trades in above chart

YearNumber of TradesTrade Dates
2015105 Nov 2015 (+)
2014318 Sep 2014 (-), 27 Oct 2014 (-), 12 Nov 2014 (+)
2013114 Jun 2013 (+)
2012119 Apr 2012 (+)
2011307 Mar 2011 (+), 18 Oct 2011 (+), 17 Nov 2011 (+)
2010128 Dec 2010 (+)
2007230 Nov 2007 (+), 27 Dec 2007 (+)
2003113 May 2003 (-)
2002118 Sep 2002 (+)

Strategy Analysis - Exit Criteria

In the study above, exit criterion was that hold the position for "X" trading days. That's one possible exit criterion. However, we can have more elaborate exit criteria. Now we study this strategy under other exit criteria. There are 3 things which you must get to know before proceeding further. Table below shows the performance of this strategy under various exit combinations. Note that nil,nil,-1 is a special exit combination where we just take the best result of "X" Analysis study above.

Stop LossAdjust Stop LossTargetAvg Holding PeriodNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
nilnil-151258621411378.5712312.3930723.09-3191.35-6040.713.8614.150.218990.16
atrnil38.1363027.8815694025798.1529898.87-10195.67-15041.122.531.690.0584201.86
200trail31.8623025.932281436.367653.8810444.83-2728.94-3772.642.81.60.0511046.63
200nil31.8622579.52281436.367653.8810444.83-2760.83-3772.642.771.580.051026.34
atrnil26.5334067.02157846.6716897.5619932.58-10526.99-15041.121.611.40.0412271.13
atrtrail25.1825475.51771041.1813272.0321227.29-6742.87-15041.121.971.380.0321498.56
atrtrail-15.9425376.511771041.1813257.8946415.21-6742.87-15041.121.971.380.0261492.74
200trail-1311850.942261627.278776.8325842.72-2550.63-3772.643.441.290.02538.68
200trail21.649540.282291340.915048.586963.22-2761.3-3772.641.831.270.027433.65
200nil21.649093.852291340.915048.586963.22-2795.64-3772.641.811.250.026413.36
atrtrail35.7611331.961771041.1811251.5329233.09-6742.87-15041.121.671.170.014666.59

In the table above, row 1 shows the best exit criterion. Profit factor is 14.15. Strategy is very good and impressively bullish. Percentage of profitable trades is 78.57%, which is excellent. Average return per trade is 4.5%, which is very good.
Performance of strategy chart over time is same as above.

View performance of other stocks for this trading system.