Study: Buy SUNTV when near 200 SMA and above 200 SMA

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In this study, we evaluate the performance of strategy "Buy SUNTV when near 200 SMA and above 200 SMA" under various conditions.

X Analysis

In the table below, we find out the performance of this trading strategy under following scenario: buy SUNTV at the closing price whenever the signal triggers (Rs. 2Lac per trade). Then cover the position "X" trading days later at close_price i.e. sell after "X" trading days. Here are the results of this study:

X DaysNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
182483.2532181456.257189.4248501.09-3351.89-8078.362.142.760.0772577.6
210137232211165.627550.2536241.84-5198.45-13326.881.452.770.0963167.88
316822632248758855.7635236.98-5539.02-14463.661.64.80.155257.06
411839731191261.2910994.1927214.28-7541.01-18483.411.462.310.0983819.27
510923531181358.0613346.6440122-10077.26-18790.081.321.830.0693523.72
698116.6431161551.6114047.0437044.23-8442.4-22538.181.661.770.0633165.05
727796.4931141745.1613091.3638753.98-9146.04-19246.971.431.180.018896.66
838693.1731141745.1613712.1530246.19-9016.29-21762.331.521.250.0261248.17
949153.6831181358.0610957.133193.77-11390.32-18950.930.961.330.0331585.6
10-5991.131151648.3911863.5832121.92-11496.55-20034.131.030.97-0.004-193.26

From the table above, we see that best results are achieved by holding positions for 3 trading days. Profit factor is 4.8. Strategy is very good and impressively bullish. Percentage of profitable trades is 75%, which is good. Average return per trade is 2.63%, which is very good.
In the chart below, we plot cumulative trade gain versus trades. This chart is important and informative as it shows the performance of strategy over time.
SUNTV Performance, X=3, Profit Factor:4.8

Yearwise Summary of trades in above chart

YearNumber of TradesTrade Dates
2018221 Mar 2018 (-0.91%), 11 Apr 2018 (1.72%)
2017127 Sep 2017 (3.06%)
2016725 Jan 2016 (6.79%), 07 Apr 2016 (1.72%), 26 Apr 2016 (4.43%), 10 May 2016 (8.46%), 25 May 2016 (2.56%), 10 Jun 2016 (2.99%), 01 Jul 2016 (3.09%)
2015306 Feb 2015 (13.66%), 08 Apr 2015 (1.82%), 06 Nov 2015 (3.28%)
2014607 Mar 2014 (1.05%), 22 Apr 2014 (1.12%), 16 May 2014 (6.2%), 11 Aug 2014 (-7.14%), 08 Dec 2014 (-0.91%), 26 Dec 2014 (-0.82%)
2013316 Apr 2013 (11.04%), 18 Jul 2013 (1.51%), 08 Nov 2013 (-7.23%)
2012527 Feb 2012 (1.68%), 09 Apr 2012 (-2.08%), 03 May 2012 (1.08%), 20 Jul 2012 (-0.81%), 31 Aug 2012 (2.39%)
2008422 Jan 2008 (17.62%), 11 Feb 2008 (5.74%), 29 Feb 2008 (-2.25%), 09 Jun 2008 (2.01%)
2007114 Jun 2007 (1.27%)

Strategy Analysis - Exit Criteria

In the study above, exit criterion was that hold the position for "X" trading days. That's one possible exit criterion. However, we can have more elaborate exit criteria. Now we study this strategy under other exit criteria. There are 3 things which you must get to know before proceeding further. Table below shows the performance of this strategy under various exit combinations. Note that nil,nil,-1 is a special exit combination where we just take the best result of "X" Analysis study above.

Stop LossAdjust Stop LossTargetAvg Holding PeriodNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
nilnil-1316822632248758855.7635236.98-5539.02-14463.661.64.80.155257.06
atrtrail35.8615089035161945.7116125.6867496.71-5637.97-9797.062.862.410.0794311.13
atrtrail25.1796648.7835161945.7112735.6444997.81-5637.97-9797.062.261.90.0672761.39
atrtrail-16.2380651.9335161945.7111735.8332259.48-5637.97-9797.062.081.750.0612304.34
atrnil310.7512487628101835.7129189.3367496.71-9278.76-20455.173.151.750.0644459.84
atrnil28.3839436.0429111837.9318768.5244997.81-9278.76-20455.172.021.240.0271359.86
200trail-12.377304.9746103621.749950.6824786.25-2561.16-3777.263.891.080.0069158.8
200nil21.49-194.1449173234.695647.87782.24-3006.46-3977.551.881-0.00027-3.96
200trail21.46-5887.8501634325678.457782.24-2845.38-3977.5520.94-0.0084-117.76
200trail31.85-10757.0146113523.917395.2611673.36-2631.57-3777.262.810.88-0.015-233.85
200nil32-15717.9545103522.228604.9711673.36-2907.65-3919.562.960.85-0.021-349.29

In the table above, row 1 shows the best exit criterion. Profit factor is 4.8. Strategy is very good and impressively bullish. Percentage of profitable trades is 75%, which is good. Average return per trade is 2.63%, which is very good.
Performance of strategy chart over time is same as above.

View performance of other stocks for this trading system.